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11/17/23 Risk-On in a Sideways Market

News:

During Thursday’s session, markets moved generally sideways for a second day.

Fuel prices are falling, and some lousy earnings had a cooling effect.

From Getty Images

The major indexes closed mixed…

  • Dow Jones -0.1%
  • Nasdaq +0.1%
  • S&P 500 +0.1%
  • Russell 2000 -1.5%

Several large caps stocks took a beating after disappointing earnings reports. That includes…

  • Walmart (WMT) -8%
  • Cisco (CSCO) -10%
  • Palo Alto (PANW) -5%

Sector Round Up

7 of the 11 sectors posted gains on Thursday. The magnitude of the loser outpaced that of the winners.

However, two of the three risk-on sectors closed near the top…

  • Utilities (XLU) +0.5%
  • Technology (XLK) +0.5%
  • Communications (XLC) +0.4%

At the bottom…

  • Consumer discretionary (XLY) -1.0%
  • Consumer Staples (XLP) -1.2%
  • Energy (XLE) -2.0%

Technicals: 

There’s still no fear in the market…

VIX Daily Candles – Chart from thinkorswim

The VIX is staying near 52-week lows and well below 16, which is extremely bullish.

Although a short-term pullback is warranted, based on RSI levels.

Your latest readout…

Timing:

Today is November options expiration. That could add volatility, especially near the close.

Bulls are getting louder …. The Wall Street Journal suggested the “Stage [is] Set for a Year-End Rally.”

Here’s how they made the case…

  • Generally strong corporate earnings
  • Improving inflation data
  • Solid consumer spending
  • “Soft Landing” in sight
  • A year-end rally is the “usual”

We couldn’t agree more.

Watchlist:

*Low Float
^Open Position

*DRCT resistance at $5.50
*ATGL on watch
*SHOT on watch
*MYO is on watch
TOI support at $2.20, resistance at $2.50
^WRAP support at 2.75, resistance at $3
RYTM support at $32, resistance at $34
ALKT support at $22

Seconard watchlist—float about 100 million

NMRK support at $7.50
KD
support at $18

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