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10/3/23 Off With a Bang—Q4!

News:

On Monday, markets opened the final quarter of the year with mixed feelings.

Image from Adobe

The indexes settle mixed…

  • Dow Jones -0.2%
  • Nasdaq +0.7% 
  • S&P 500 +0.0%
  • Russell 2000 -1.6%

The indexes closed well off their lows, giving bulls a reason to cheer.

Beneath the surface, it was ugly.

  • 74% of listed stocks declined
  • 22% advanced

Sector Round Up

Of the 11 sectors, only 3 closed in the green on Monday. Notably, the three “risk-on” sectors were the only sectors to close positive.

The winners…

  • Technology (XLK) +1.1%
  • Communications (XLC) +0.8%
  • Consumer Discretionary (XLY) +0.1%

At the bottom…

  • Real Estate (XLRE) -1.8%
  • Energy (XLE) -2.0%
  • Utilities (XLU) -4.7%

“Safe” Sector Slump

The Utilities sector fell off a cliff on Monday. 

At writing, utilities are trading below their 2020 crash lows.

XLU Weekly Candles – Chart by thinkorswim

Click Here to see exactly what’s causing the carnage.

Technicals: 

Fear is still absent from the market.

VIX Daily Candles – Chart by thinkorswim

During Monday’s session, The VIX popped but above 18. But ultimately, that level was rejected.

Your latest readout…

Timing:

Much of our seasonal analysis is based on research and data from the Stock Trader’s  Almanac.

Today, we’ll leave with a quote from their October Almanac page…

“October is a great time to buy.”

Watchlist:

*Low Float
^Open Position

*IMMX support at $3.75
*FEMY on watch
*SHOT support at $1.40, resistance at $1.55
*GRPN support at $14
*HRTG support at $6
*GLBS support at $1.80
LFMD support at $5.50
GIII support at $24, resistance at $25
METC support at $10, resistance at $11
APLT support at $2.50, resistance at $2.80
TNGX support at $11

Secondary watchlist—float 100+ million

TAL support at $8

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