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10/27/23 GDP Higher, Tech Stocks Lower

News:

Thursday’s trading session was met with seemingly positive news. 

The U.S. economy grew at a pace of 4.9%, according to the advance estimate from the BEA.

Chart from WSJ

Forecasters projected growth of just 0.6% on average.

A booming economy didn’t inspire buyers. Selling pressures persisted in the markets.

The indexes closed mixed but favored the bears

  • Dow Jones -0.8%
  • Nasdaq -1.8%
  • S&P 500 -1.2%
  • Russell 2000 +0.3%

The indexes heavily weighed by large caps suffered the most. But under the surface, buyers were still pushing select prices higher.

Of all the listed stocks…

  • 45% advanced
  • 51% declined

Sector Round Up

3 of the 11 sectors closed Thursday’s session with gains.

The winners…

  • Real Estate (XLRE) +2.1%
  • Utilities (XLU) +0.9%
  • Materials (XLB) +0.7%

Risk-on stocks were at the bottom…

  • Consumer Discretionary (XLY) -1.6%
  • Technology (XLK) -1.9%
  • Communications (XLC) -2.2%

Driving Factors

Real Estate was propped up by…

Image from IStock

Communications was dragged down by…

  • Disappointing guidance from Meta (META), -4%
  • Lost subscribers for NBC parent Comcast (CMCSA), -8% 

Technicals: 

Fear still hasn’t made a decent showing in the market.

The VIX is struggling to move much higher even though the 2-day selloff has rocked tech stocks.

VIX Daily Candles – Chart from thinkorswim

The levels to watch right now are 22 and 20. 

  • Above 22 is bearish
  • Below 20 is bullish

Your latest readout…

We expect the seasonal bottom to be in by the end of next week.

Timing:

Wall Street will look to the Bureau of Economic Analysis again this morning.

The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) will drop at 8:30.

PCE is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.

Next week, the FOMC will convene to make a decision about interest rates. Expectations currently favor holding rates steady.

Watchlist:

METC support at $11
SRRK support at $10
EPAC support at $28
PGTI support at $30
LOGI on watch

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